Probability + reported hard pity

Anime Expeditions Trait Reroll & Pity Calculator

Enter your target rate, current pity and Trait Crystal budget to see success chance, expected rolls, median, custom confidence and worst case.

Community presets are editableNo random animation

Trait Crystal lab

Plan the roll before you spend

Choose a reported trait preset or enter your own rate. Presets are community-listed and can be overridden if the in-game UI shows something different.

Target traitReported 1,500-roll pity. Change the fields below whenever your game screen disagrees.Chance per roll (%)Hard pity (0 = none)Current pity progressTrait Crystals / rollsPlanning confidence: 90%

Chance with this budget22.13%

You need 1,250 more rolls to reach the 90% planning target.

Expected rolls777Median rolls69390% target1,500Worst case1,500 rolls

Natural odds use 1 − (1 − p)ⁿ. With hard pity, the result becomes 100% once your budget reaches the remaining pity count. Expected rolls are capped at that same boundary.

Read the result

Probability is not a promise

A 90% result still leaves a 10% miss path unless your budget reaches the modeled hard-pity boundary. Use percentiles as planning targets, not guarantees.

Next decision

Check what the trait changes

Damage and SPA traits can be tested in the raw DPS matrix. Economy, range and control value need role context from the trait and tier pages.

Trait effects DPS matrix

FAQ

Reroll questions

How does the Anime Expeditions reroll calculator work?

It uses one minus the probability of missing every roll, then caps expected and percentile budgets at the remaining hard-pity threshold when you enable pity.

How many rolls are expected for Unbound?

At the community-listed 0.10% rate with a 1,500-roll modeled guarantee and zero pity progress, the capped expectation is about 777 rolls.

Does current pity change my natural chance?

Current pity changes how close you are to the modeled guarantee. Before that guarantee, the natural per-roll chance remains the rate you entered.

Are the pity values official?

No. Launch presets are publicly reported and can be disputed. Forsaken and Draconic are explicitly flagged, and every chance or pity field is editable.